Resovia Rzeszow 2-3 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Resovia Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.08/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.79
-26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +60%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Resovia Rzeszow
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.09.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-1 HT 3-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
24.02.2023 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
06.08.2022 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 0-1 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
06.03.2021 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 0-2 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
06.09.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-0 HT 1-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
14.06.2020 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 1-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Resovia Rzeszow
2-3
AWAY Gornik Leczna
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Resovia Rzeszow vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna squeezed past Resovia Rzeszow 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Resovia Rzeszow at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Resovia Rzeszow had 51% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 49%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Leczna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Resovia Rzeszow and 1.50 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Resovia Rzeszow vs Gornik Leczna?

Resovia Rzeszow 2-3 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Resovia Rzeszow vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Resovia Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Resovia Rzeszow 41%, draw 25%, Gornik Leczna 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Resovia Rzeszow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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