Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-1 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.28/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.45
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Nieciecza
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 1-2 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
30.04.2023 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-2 HT 1-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
02.10.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 1-2 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
06.06.2020 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-0 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
31.08.2019 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 1-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
09.04.2016 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-0 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
2-1
AWAY Nieciecza
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbeskidzie Bielsko squeezed past Nieciecza 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Podbeskidzie Bielsko made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Podbeskidzie Bielsko had 60% of the ball to Nieciecza's 40%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Podbeskidzie Bielsko had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Podbeskidzie Bielsko and 1.33 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Nieciecza?

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-1 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbeskidzie Bielsko win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Podbeskidzie Bielsko 38%, draw 28%, Nieciecza 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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