Moreirense vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moreirense v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Moreirense vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Benfica
PRLK
1-1
HT 0-0
Moreirense
POR
1-2
HT 1-2
Benfica
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Benfica
POR
Moreirense 1-1 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Moreirense and Benfica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Benfica at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Moreirense had 34% of the ball to Benfica's 66%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.23 to 1.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Moreirense and 1.33 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Moreirense vs Benfica?
Moreirense 1-1 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 26%, draw 27%, Benfica 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica) went the other way.