Triglav 2-0 NK Brinje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 36%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.18/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.36
-28% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
1W-0D-3L
AWAY NK Brinje
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.03.2024 Triglav Triglav 0-1 HT 0-1 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
10.09.2023 NK Brinje NK Brinje 0-1 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
02.04.2023 NK Brinje NK Brinje 2-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
16.09.2022 Triglav Triglav 0-2 HT 0-1 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triglav
2-0
AWAY NK Brinje
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Triglav vs NK Brinje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav saw off NK Brinje 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Triglav found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Triglav had 48% of the ball to NK Brinje's 52%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, NK Brinje led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Triglav and 1.25 for NK Brinje.

What was the final score of Triglav vs NK Brinje?

Triglav 2-0 NK Brinje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs NK Brinje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Triglav 38%, draw 26%, NK Brinje 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Under 2.5
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