Fenerbahçe 3-0 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.2
2-3 Goals
34%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.72
6+ Goals
15%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
20.75
X/1
23%
3.57
X/2
7%
17.85
X/X
8%
7.85
2/1
8%
21.2
2/2
7%
13.3
2/X
6%
20.9
Value flag · 1/X at 20.75 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.7pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.38/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.36
+19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -18%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.4 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Alanyaspor
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.54 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
417 Passes 315
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-2 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
24.09.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
19.03.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
07.12.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-4 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe HAZ
18.09.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-0 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
13.03.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-5 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
3-0
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.88 xG 0.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
365 Passes 366
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe ran out comfortable winners over Alanyaspor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 49% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 51%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.88 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.17 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?

Fenerbahçe 3-0 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 58%, draw 23%, Alanyaspor 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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