Fenerbahçe 2-2 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 11 Feb 2024

Fenerbahçe
2-2 HT 0-1
Alanyaspor
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.54
2-3 Goals
36%
2.12
4-5 Goals
27%
2.47
6+ Goals
17%
5.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.33
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
26.5
X/1
20%
3.49
X/2
6%
26.0
X/X
7%
10.2
2/1
8%
21.2
2/2
6%
18.55
2/X
4%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
77%
-12.2pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.5pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fenerbahçe v Alanyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
2.44/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.40
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -23%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
453 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.6 Crosses 14.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Alanyaspor
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.59 xG 0.86
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
419 Passes 327
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
19.03.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
07.12.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-4 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe HAZ
18.09.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-0 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
13.03.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-5 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
24.10.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-2 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL

Fenerbahçe 2-2 Alanyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
2-2
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.91 xG 0.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
477 Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
53 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe and Alanyaspor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Fenerbahçe carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 64% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 36%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 1.91 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.17 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?

Fenerbahçe 2-2 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 65%, draw 19%, Alanyaspor 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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