İstanbulspor 1-3 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 11 Feb 2024

İstanbulspor
1-3 HT 1-1
Gaziantep FK
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

İstanbulspor vs Gaziantep FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.2
6+ Goals
12%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
15%
6.25
X/2
11%
4.75
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.2
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 11% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.8pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Gaziantep FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.31/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.47
-12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
15.8 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

İstanbulspor vs Gaziantep FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
415 Passes 271
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
09.01.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
26.01.2019 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
19.08.2018 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
18.02.2018 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
15.09.2017 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L

İstanbulspor 1-3 Gaziantep FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
1-3
AWAY Gaziantep FK
0.97 xG 2.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
332 Passes 329
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK saw off İstanbulspor 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Gaziantep FK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 51% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 49%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.97 to 2.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.33 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Gaziantep FK?

İstanbulspor 1-3 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 36%, draw 28%, Gaziantep FK 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
11 Feb 2024
13:30 Sivasspor vs Çaykur Rizespor Analysis →
16:00 Konyaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Analysis →
19:00 Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor Analysis →