Sivasspor 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.42
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
10%
5.17
X/2
15%
5.81
X/X
12%
4.38
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
14%
4.04
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.53/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.58
-12% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.7 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
355 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
16.05.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-2 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
22.12.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
27.02.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
26.10.2020 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
27.01.2020 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
1-0
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.62 xG 1.65
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
239 Passes 429
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor edged past Çaykur Rizespor 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sivasspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 39% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 61%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.62 to 1.65 — on chances, Çaykur Rizespor could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sivasspor and 1.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Sivasspor 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 39%, draw 26%, Çaykur Rizespor 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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