Changchun Xidu 1-2 Guizhou Zhucheng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.66
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.54
Over 2.5
55%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
34%
-7.5pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
61%
-16.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
39%
+16.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun Xidu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Guizhou Zhucheng EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun Xidu
1-2
AWAY Guizhou Zhucheng
1.08 xG 1.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
359 Passes 223
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
4 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Changchun Xidu vs Guizhou Zhucheng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guizhou Zhucheng nicked a narrow win over Changchun Xidu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Changchun Xidu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Changchun Xidu had 59% of the ball to Guizhou Zhucheng's 41%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.08 to 1.18.

What was the final score of Changchun Xidu vs Guizhou Zhucheng?

Changchun Xidu 1-2 Guizhou Zhucheng in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun Xidu vs Guizhou Zhucheng?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun Xidu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Changchun Xidu 41%, draw 26%, Guizhou Zhucheng 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Changchun Xidu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changchun Xidu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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