Guangxi Hengchen 1-0 Shandong Taishan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
62%
-0.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.5pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan II EU Bookmakers 19%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.05/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.16
-40% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
10.0 Crosses 10.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shandong Taishan II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.22 xG 0.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
252 Passes 271
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 0-3 Shandong Taishan II Shandong Taishan II ÇİN2
15.09.2024 Shandong Taishan II Shandong Taishan II 1-3 HT 1-2 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
1-0
AWAY Shandong Taishan II
1.11 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
364 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Taishan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen nicked a narrow win over Shandong Taishan II 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guangxi Hengchen as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangxi Hengchen had 51% of the ball to Shandong Taishan II's 49%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.11 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guangxi Hengchen and 2.00 for Shandong Taishan II.

What was the final score of Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Taishan II?

Guangxi Hengchen 1-0 Shandong Taishan II in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Taishan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Hengchen 61%, draw 20%, Shandong Taishan II 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✗ Over 2.5
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