Bristol City 4-2 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.11
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
20%
3.47
6+
11%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.11 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.53
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.44
X/2
7%
7.86
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1
8%
24.1
2/2
12%
6.08
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.46/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.28
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.5 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hull City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.88 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
405 Passes 390
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2025 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
10.08.2024 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
22.12.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 3-2 HT 1-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
25.08.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
25.02.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
30.07.2022 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
4-2
AWAY Hull City
56% Ball Possession 44%
29 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 5
371 Passes 269
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City got the better of Hull City 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bristol City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bristol City had 56% of the ball to Hull City's 44%, shots finished 29-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bristol City and 1.17 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Hull City?

Bristol City 4-2 Hull City in the England - Championship on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 46%, draw 25%, Hull City 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol City) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bristol City) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
30 Aug 2025
14:30 Middlesbrough vs Sheffield United Analysis →
14:30 Queens Park Rangers vs Charlton Athletic Analysis →
14:30 Stoke City vs West Bromwich Analysis →
17:00 Oxford United vs Coventry Analysis →
17:00 Millwall vs Wrexham Analysis →
17:00 Sheffield Wednesday vs Swansea City Analysis →