Queens Park Rangers 3-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Aug 2025

Queens Park Rangers
3-1 HT 1-0
Charlton Athletic
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Queens Park Rangers vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.74
Over
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
32%
2.79
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
20%
3.84
6+
10%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.78
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
14%
6.41
X/2
17%
4.88
X/X
9%
4.27
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.15
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park Rangers v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.24/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.05
+5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.7 Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Queens Park Rangers vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
362 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNLK
27.06.2020 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
21.12.2019 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-2 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
09.04.2016 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-1 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
08.08.2015 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
22.02.2014 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL

Queens Park Rangers 3-1 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3-1
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.49 xG 0.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
204 Passes 271
64% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers saw off Charlton Athletic 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Queens Park Rangers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 45% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 55%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.49 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.33 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Charlton Athletic?

Queens Park Rangers 3-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - Championship on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 35%, draw 26%, Charlton Athletic 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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