Pontevedra 1-1 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.56
Over 2.5
49%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.51
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
60%
-9.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
40%
+9.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.27/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.22
-8% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
1-1
AWAY Cacereno
72% Ball Possession 28%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra and Cacereno shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pontevedra had 72% of the ball to Cacereno's 28%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Cacereno?

Pontevedra 1-1 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 46%, draw 25%, Cacereno 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontevedra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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