Mantova 2-1 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.67
X/2
14%
7.28
X/X
14%
4.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
12%
5.53
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -21%
1.09/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.45
+0% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
12.5 Crosses 18.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Pescara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
11.08.2019 Pescara Pescara 3-2 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTK
10.02.2007 Pescara Pescara 0-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
16.09.2006 Mantova Mantova 2-1 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
28.05.2006 Mantova Mantova 0-0 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
21.12.2005 Pescara Pescara 2-1 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
2-1
AWAY Pescara
1.80 xG 0.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 316
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova squeezed past Pescara 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mantova as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mantova had 53% of the ball to Pescara's 47%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.80 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mantova's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pescara led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mantova and 1.20 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Pescara?

Mantova 2-1 Pescara in the Italy - Serie B on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mantova 41%, draw 28%, Pescara 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mantova), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mantova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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