Cesena 1-1 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.48
Over 2.5
49%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.48
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.05
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
11%
4.55
X/2
18%
7.1
X/X
12%
3.41
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
11%
6.06
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.0pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
64%
-12.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
36%
+12.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.23/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.49
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
20.6 Crosses 19.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Virtus Entella
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Cesena Cesena 4-0 HT 3-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
16.11.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-1 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTC
06.08.2023 Cesena Cesena 2-2 HT 2-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTK
14.03.2023 Cesena Cesena 4-0 HT 2-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
14.11.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTC
03.04.2022 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
1-1
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.71 xG 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
281 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena and Virtus Entella couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cesena had 50% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 50%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.71 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cesena and 0.33 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Virtus Entella?

Cesena 1-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie B on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cesena 39%, draw 26%, Virtus Entella 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cesena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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