Bochum 1-2 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.82
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
18%
4.83
X/2
7%
7.01
X/X
9%
4.82
2/1
9%
24.1
2/2
13%
5.01
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.00/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.39
+21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
23.3 Crosses 19.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Preussen Münster
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
20.03.2025 Bochum Bochum 4-2 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster HAZ
01.07.2015 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-2 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-2
AWAY Preussen Münster
2.08 xG 0.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 581
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
27 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster edged past Bochum 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bochum at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bochum had 40% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 60%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.08 to 0.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bochum.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bochum had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Bochum and 2.00 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Preussen Münster?

Bochum 1-2 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bochum 51%, draw 23%, Preussen Münster 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bochum) ✗ BTTS No
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