Braunschweig 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 30 Aug 2025

Braunschweig
1-1 HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Braunschweig vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.14
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 27% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.81
1/2
11%
23.65
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
14%
6.18
X/2
13%
5.65
X/X
6%
5.29
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.31
2/X
10%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braunschweig v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.42/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.49
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.9 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Braunschweig vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.71 xG 1.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
254 Passes 267
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 3-3 HT 2-3 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
26.08.2022 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 4-1 HT 3-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
20.04.2018 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
17.11.2017 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
14.05.2017 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 6-0 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
11.12.2016 Braunschweig Braunschweig 3-2 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2

Braunschweig 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
1-1
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.27 xG 1.25
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
161 Passes 476
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig and Arminia Bielefeld couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arminia Bielefeld at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Braunschweig had 30% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 70%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.27 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Braunschweig and 2.83 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Braunschweig 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 34%, draw 24%, Arminia Bielefeld 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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