Dnepr Mogilev 0-3 Baranovichi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

Dnepr Mogilev
0-3 HT 0-2
Baranovichi
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belarus - 1st Division – 2025

Dnepr Mogilev vs Baranovichi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.29
Over 2.5
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
55%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
40%
-4.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
60%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dnepr Mogilev v Baranovichi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.85/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.67
-5% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Dnepr Mogilev vs Baranovichi Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Baranovichi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2025 Baranovichi Baranovichi 1-1 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
26.09.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 2-2 HT 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
11.07.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 1-0 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
24.04.2021 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-0 HT 0-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Baranovichi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baranovichi ran out comfortable winners over Dnepr Mogilev 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Dnepr Mogilev at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 1.00 for Baranovichi.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Baranovichi?

Dnepr Mogilev 0-3 Baranovichi in the Belarus - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Baranovichi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 51%, draw 24%, Baranovichi 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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