Ceara 0-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.45
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.43
6+ Goals
10%
24.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.28
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
16%
3.96
X/2
8%
9.2
X/X
7%
4.22
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
8%
8.2
2/X
9%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +18%
1.37/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.37
+3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.4 Crosses 17.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Juventude
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 290
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 1-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
25.11.2023 Ceara Ceara 1-3 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR2
23.07.2023 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
13.11.2022 Ceara Ceara 4-1 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
24.07.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
23.10.2021 Juventude Juventude 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
0-1
AWAY Juventude
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
225 Passes 148
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude squeezed past Ceara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ceara at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ceara had 60% of the ball to Juventude's 40%, shots finished 6-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ceara and 1.33 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Juventude?

Ceara 0-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ceara 56%, draw 23%, Juventude 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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