Cuniburo FC 0-1 El Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY El Nacional EU Bookmakers 40%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.09/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.41
-65% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
26.2 Crosses 23.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuniburo FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY El Nacional
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.44 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
271 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.05.2025 El Nacional El Nacional 2-1 HT 1-0 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuniburo FC
0-1
AWAY El Nacional
0.85 xG 0.53
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
158 Passes 435
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuniburo FC vs El Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Nacional squeezed past Cuniburo FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day El Nacional made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cuniburo FC had 32% of the ball to El Nacional's 68%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.85 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Cuniburo FC vs El Nacional?

Cuniburo FC 0-1 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuniburo FC vs El Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuniburo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cuniburo FC 37%, draw 26%, El Nacional 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cuniburo FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cuniburo FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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