Long Eaton United 1-4 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+3.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.3pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Long Eaton United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Long Eaton United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kettering Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Long Eaton United İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Long Eaton United 2-2 HT 0-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Long Eaton United
1-4
AWAY Kettering Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 13
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Long Eaton United vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town cruised past Long Eaton United 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kettering Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Long Eaton United had 50% of the ball to Kettering Town's 50%, shots finished 13-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Long Eaton United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Long Eaton United and 1.50 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of Long Eaton United vs Kettering Town?

Long Eaton United 1-4 Kettering Town in the England - FA Cup on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Long Eaton United vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Long Eaton United 30%, draw 20%, Kettering Town 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kettering Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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