Kettering Town 1-3 Long Eaton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.61
Over 2.5
68%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.63
No
34%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
35%
-2.6pp
68%
Over 2.5
65%
+2.6pp
66%
BTTS Yes
57%
+9.0pp
34%
BTTS No
43%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Long Eaton United EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
399 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kettering Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Long Eaton United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Long Eaton United 2-2 HT 0-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kettering Town
1-3
AWAY Long Eaton United
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs Long Eaton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Long Eaton United beat Kettering Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kettering Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Kettering Town had 50% of the ball to Long Eaton United's 50%, shots finished 19-19.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs Long Eaton United?

Kettering Town 1-3 Long Eaton United in the England - Non League Premier on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs Long Eaton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 51%, draw 22%, Long Eaton United 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kettering Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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