Real Valladolid II 1-2 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
51%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
51%
Away Win
42%
+8.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
1-2
AWAY Navalcarnero
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero nicked a narrow win over Real Valladolid II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Navalcarnero as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 56% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 44%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?

Real Valladolid II 1-2 Navalcarnero in the Friendlies on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated an Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 26%, draw 23%, Navalcarnero 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
30 Aug 2025
12:30 Santurtzi vs SD Leioa Analysis →
13:00 Cristo Atletico vs Rayo Cantabria Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Zaragoza II Analysis →