Santurtzi 1-1 SD Leioa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Aug 2025

Santurtzi
1-1 HT 0-1
SD Leioa
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Santurtzi vs SD Leioa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.7pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.4pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santurtzi v SD Leioa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santurtzi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Leioa EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Santurtzi vs SD Leioa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santurtzi and SD Leioa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (42% / 19% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Santurtzi vs SD Leioa?

Santurtzi 1-1 SD Leioa in the Friendlies on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santurtzi vs SD Leioa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santurtzi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santurtzi 42%, draw 19%, SD Leioa 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santurtzi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santurtzi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
30 Aug 2025
13:00 Cristo Atletico vs Rayo Cantabria Analysis →
13:00 Real Valladolid II vs Navalcarnero Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Zaragoza II Analysis →