Vukovar 1-2 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.69
2-3 Goals
46%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.81
6+ Goals
7%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.22/2.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.12
+89% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.0 Crosses 19.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
1-2
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.48 xG 1.47
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
402 Passes 278
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo nicked a narrow win over Vukovar 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Slaven Belupo made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Vukovar had 57% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 43%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.48 to 1.47.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Slaven Belupo?

Vukovar 1-2 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 38%, draw 29%, Slaven Belupo 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vukovar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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