PSV Eindhoven 0-2 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.16
Draw
11%
7.78
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
4.67
Over 2.5
70%
1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.9
2-3 Goals
38%
2.67
4-5 Goals
27%
2.24
6+ Goals
20%
2.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.16
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
3%
32.0
X/1
22%
4.17
X/2
2%
34.5
X/X
5%
15.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
17%
19.7
2/2
2%
32.0
2/X
3%
34.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 17% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
82%
-0.2pp
11%
Draw
10%
+0.4pp
7%
Away Win
7%
-0.2pp
30%
Under 2.5
18%
+12.1pp
70%
Over 2.5
82%
-12.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.88/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.68
+29% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +29%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
44.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
25.2 Crosses 15.0
0.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Telstar
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.30 xG 0.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
392 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 11
20.01.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOK
25.09.2013 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-1 HT 2-1 Telstar Telstar HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
0-2
AWAY Telstar
1.72 xG 1.48
71% Ball Possession 29%
23 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
506 Passes 185
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
52 Box Touches 16
46 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar got the better of PSV Eindhoven 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSV Eindhoven at 82% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 71% of the ball to Telstar's 29%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.72 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.00 for Telstar.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Telstar?

PSV Eindhoven 0-2 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 82%, draw 11%, Telstar 7%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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