Volendam 1-1 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 30 Aug 2025

Volendam
1-1 HT 1-0
Ajax
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Volendam vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
6.35
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
73%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.84
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
31%
2.47
6+ Goals
12%
5.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
12.95
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
18.9
1/X
4%
21.25
X/1
3%
16.85
X/2
22%
3.97
X/X
8%
8.49
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
40%
1.51
2/X
6%
18.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.9 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
13%
-3.1pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.4pp
73%
Away Win
70%
+2.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v Ajax — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 75%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
0.99/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.05
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 85%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.0
14.9 Crosses 19.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4

Volendam vs Ajax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ajax
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.08 xG 3.03
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
194 Passes 619
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 54
12 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Volendam Volendam 1-4 HT 0-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
02.11.2023 Ajax Ajax 2-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
26.01.2023 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
08.10.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-4 HT 0-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
25.09.2013 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOK
22.02.2009 Ajax Ajax 2-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL

Volendam 1-1 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
1-1
AWAY Ajax
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
226 Passes 575
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam and Ajax couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ajax at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Volendam had 31% of the ball to Ajax's 69%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Volendam and 2.33 for Ajax.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Ajax?

Volendam 1-1 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Volendam 10%, draw 17%, Ajax 73%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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