Volendam 1-4 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.18
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
58%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.14
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
8.04
2-3 Goals
35%
2.32
4-5 Goals
25%
2.39
6+ Goals
17%
4.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
13.4
1/2
8%
18.9
1/X
5%
20.75
X/1
9%
20.6
X/2
21%
3.8
X/X
11%
9.86
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.44
2/X
7%
21.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+8.5pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.2pp
58%
Away Win
72%
-14.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 77%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.97/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.09
-12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 84%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.3
12.6 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ajax
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.88 xG 3.44
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 27
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
154 Passes 633
61% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 61
11 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2023 Ajax Ajax 2-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
26.01.2023 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
08.10.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-4 HT 0-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
25.09.2013 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOK
22.02.2009 Ajax Ajax 2-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
07.12.2008 Volendam Volendam 1-2 HT 1-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
1-4
AWAY Ajax
1.67 xG 1.79
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 3
314 Passes 577
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax ran out comfortable winners over Volendam 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Volendam had 38% of the ball to Ajax's 62%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.67 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Volendam and 2.00 for Ajax.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Ajax?

Volendam 1-4 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Volendam 20%, draw 23%, Ajax 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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