AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Twente — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Twente
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Twente
HOL
1-2
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOK
3-1
HT 2-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Twente — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar nicked a narrow win over Twente 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; AZ Alkmaar found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 50% of the ball to Twente's 50%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.45 to 1.87 — on chances, Twente could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.67 for Twente.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 35%, draw 29%, Twente 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.