PSV Eindhoven 4-2 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 5 May 2024

PSV Eindhoven
4-2 HT 2-2
Sparta Rotterdam
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.94
Over 2.5
71%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.5
2-3 Goals
33%
2.61
4-5 Goals
32%
2.31
6+ Goals
20%
3.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.22
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.0
X/1
20%
3.73
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
8%
14.9
2/1
8%
19.85
2/2
6%
24.85
2/X
6%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.3pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.6pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.7pp
29%
Under 2.5
22%
+7.4pp
71%
Over 2.5
78%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
2.83/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.29
+18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +20%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
494 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
43.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.4 Crosses 12.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.23 xG 0.62
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
475 Passes 226
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
40 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
06.05.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
10.01.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
07.01.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
27.02.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
03.10.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL

PSV Eindhoven 4-2 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
4-2
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
2.39 xG 0.47
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
539 Passes 208
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven got the better of Sparta Rotterdam 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 68% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 32%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.39 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.50 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?

PSV Eindhoven 4-2 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 66%, draw 18%, Sparta Rotterdam 16%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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