Heracles 0-5 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 5 May 2024

Heracles
0-5 HT 0-2
RKC Waalwijk
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.12
2-3 Goals
34%
1.96
4-5 Goals
29%
2.74
6+ Goals
15%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.97
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.33
X/2
11%
6.71
X/X
11%
5.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
12%
4.07
2/X
8%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.63/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.79
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
24.1 Crosses 19.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
3W-0D-3L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 318
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.01.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
11.05.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
26.09.2021 Heracles Heracles 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
30.07.2021 Heracles Heracles 4-1 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HAZ
21.02.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
17.10.2020 Heracles Heracles 0-1 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

Heracles 0-5 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
0-5
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.51 xG 2.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
330 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk swept aside Heracles 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Heracles at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Heracles had 53% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 47%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.51 to 2.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heracles and 1.33 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk?

Heracles 0-5 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heracles win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Heracles 45%, draw 25%, RKC Waalwijk 31%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Heracles), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heracles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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