Aalesund II 1-3 Melhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.5pp
61%
Away Win
64%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.5pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Melhus EU Bookmakers 69%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.97/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.02
+20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Melhus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2025 Melhus Melhus 5-0 HT 3-0 Aalesund II Aalesund II NOR4
23.10.2021 Aalesund II Aalesund II 3-2 HT 3-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
POST-MATCH Aalesund II vs Melhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus got the better of Aalesund II 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melhus as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aalesund II and 3.50 for Melhus.

What was the final score of Aalesund II vs Melhus?

Aalesund II 1-3 Melhus in the Norway - 3rd Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund II vs Melhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Aalesund II 21%, draw 18%, Melhus 61%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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