Alianza Universidad 2-1 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.29/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.77
-19% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
19.7 Crosses 12.6
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Universidad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cultural San
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.76 xG 1.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
307 Passes 354
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 22
4 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Cultural San Cultural San 3-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Universidad
2-1
AWAY Cultural San
1.84 xG 0.71
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 Passes 146
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alianza Universidad vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Universidad nicked a narrow win over Cultural San 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Universidad as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alianza Universidad had 71% of the ball to Cultural San's 29%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.84 to 0.71.

What was the final score of Alianza Universidad vs Cultural San?

Alianza Universidad 2-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Universidad vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Universidad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alianza Universidad 46%, draw 22%, Cultural San 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Universidad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Universidad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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