IFK Trelleborg 3-2 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No
53%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
64%
-17.5pp
53%
BTTS No
36%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 30%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.27/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.95
-35% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Trelleborg
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Balkan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2024 Balkan Balkan 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
14.08.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 2-2 HT 1-1 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
14.04.2023 Balkan Balkan 3-2 HT 0-1 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Trelleborg
3-2
AWAY Balkan
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IFK Trelleborg vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Trelleborg edged past Balkan 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IFK Trelleborg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, IFK Trelleborg had 42% of the ball to Balkan's 58%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Balkan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IFK Trelleborg and 2.00 for Balkan.

What was the final score of IFK Trelleborg vs Balkan?

IFK Trelleborg 3-2 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Trelleborg vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Trelleborg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split IFK Trelleborg 54%, draw 25%, Balkan 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Trelleborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
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