Brommapojkarna 2-1 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.23
Over
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.66
2-3
41%
1.91
4-5
22%
2.86
6+
12%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.01
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
11%
5.14
X/2
13%
6.32
X/X
16%
5.71
2/1
11%
22.7
2/2
13%
4.0
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.25/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.64
-24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
25.5 Crosses 24.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
383 Passes 367
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 17
46 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.05.2024 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
08.08.2022 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
02.04.2022 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-1 HT 1-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
16.09.2019 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-2 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
30.03.2019 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-2 HT 1-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
07.09.2011 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 4-1 HT 2-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
2-1
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
1.68 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
397 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna edged past Vasteras SK FK 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Brommapojkarna found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 50% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 50%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.68 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brommapojkarna had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brommapojkarna and 1.00 for Vasteras SK FK.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Vasteras SK FK?

Brommapojkarna 2-1 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 38%, draw 30%, Vasteras SK FK 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brommapojkarna), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brommapojkarna) ✓ BTTS Yes
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