Göteborg 2-0 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 30 Sep 2024

Göteborg
2-0 HT 1-0
GAIS
📅30/09/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Göteborg vs GAIS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
27%
3.51
2-3
44%
1.8
4-5
20%
3.4
6+
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.51 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.97
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
8%
5.85
X/2
11%
5.21
X/X
12%
4.81
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
21%
3.38
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göteborg v GAIS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.01/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.02
-22% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.2 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Göteborg vs GAIS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY GAIS
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 2.82
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
524 Passes 196
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.05.2024 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
26.02.2023 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇK
24.09.2012 Göteborg Göteborg 0-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
21.05.2012 GAIS GAIS 1-1 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.10.2011 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
09.05.2011 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 1-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ

Göteborg 2-0 GAIS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
2-0
AWAY GAIS
1.26 xG 0.78
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
198 Passes 315
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg got the better of GAIS 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Göteborg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Göteborg had 41% of the ball to GAIS's 59%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.26 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, GAIS led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Göteborg and 1.17 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs GAIS?

Göteborg 2-0 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated an GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 36%, draw 25%, GAIS 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GAIS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GAIS) ✓ Under 2.5
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