Racing Santander 1-2 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.03
Over
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.84
2-3
40%
1.83
4-5
23%
3.19
6+
8%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.84 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.0
X/1
24%
3.66
X/2
7%
12.55
X/X
10%
5.92
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
7%
9.95
2/X
5%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Racing Santander win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.90/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.52
-40% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
15.2 Crosses 15.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Cartagena
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.45 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.01.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-2 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
14.10.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 2-3 HT 2-2 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
28.05.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-1 HT 3-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
17.12.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 0-3 HT 0-2 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
1-2
AWAY Cartagena
1.92 xG 2.01
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
505 Passes 175
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
46 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena nicked a narrow win over Racing Santander 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Racing Santander carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Santander had 69% of the ball to Cartagena's 31%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.92 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Racing Santander had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Racing Santander and 1.25 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Cartagena?

Racing Santander 1-2 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 60%, draw 20%, Cartagena 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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