U. Catolica 0-2 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

U. Catolica
0-2 HT 0-0
Union Espanola
📅30/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Chile - Premier League – 2024

U. Catolica vs Union Espanola Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

U. Catolica v Union Espanola — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.28/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.56
+28% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.7 Crosses 21.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

U. Catolica vs Union Espanola Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Union Espanola
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 Passes 270
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-2 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
01.09.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-2 HT 2-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
12.03.2023 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 0-2 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
20.10.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
14.02.2022 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
07.10.2021 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL

U. Catolica 0-2 Union Espanola — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
0-2
AWAY Union Espanola
0.44 xG 1.54
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
241 Passes 543
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola beat U. Catolica 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was U. Catolica at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 35% of the ball to Union Espanola's 65%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.44 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for U. Catolica and 1.33 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Union Espanola?

U. Catolica 0-2 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 44%, draw 25%, Union Espanola 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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