Dnepr Rogachev 5-0 Torpedo BelAZ II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-2.2pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.3pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo BelAZ II EU Bookmakers 14%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.09/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/3.56
-19% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -34%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Torpedo BelAZ II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
03.06.2024 Torpedo BelAZ II Torpedo BelAZ II 2-1 HT 0-0 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
5-0
AWAY Torpedo BelAZ II
55% Ball Possession 45%
27 Total Shots 5
17 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dnepr Rogachev vs Torpedo BelAZ II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev cruised past Torpedo BelAZ II 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dnepr Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dnepr Rogachev had 55% of the ball to Torpedo BelAZ II's 45%, shots finished 27-5.

What was the final score of Dnepr Rogachev vs Torpedo BelAZ II?

Dnepr Rogachev 5-0 Torpedo BelAZ II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Rogachev vs Torpedo BelAZ II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Rogachev 69%, draw 18%, Torpedo BelAZ II 13%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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