Aurora 2-1 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 30 Sep 2024

Aurora
2-1 HT 1-0
Guabira
📅30/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Aurora vs Guabira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.9pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Guabira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 14%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.65/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.93
-8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 71%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
23.6 Crosses 12.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Aurora vs Guabira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Guabira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
231 Passes 262
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
10.10.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
23.04.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
12.09.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
18.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 3-2 HT 2-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
06.02.2022 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ

Aurora 2-1 Guabira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
2-1
AWAY Guabira
0.79 xG 0.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
207 Passes 191
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora nicked a narrow win over Guabira 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aurora had 53% of the ball to Guabira's 47%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.79 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guabira led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aurora and 1.00 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Guabira?

Aurora 2-1 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aurora 56%, draw 25%, Guabira 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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