Mirassol FC 0-0 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
43%
2.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.33
6+ Goals
6%
33.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.29 — our 43% vs market 37.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.8pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.30/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.00
+26% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
14.6 Crosses 18.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sport Recife
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.93 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
386 Passes 275
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2024 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
04.11.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
10.07.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
0-0
AWAY Sport Recife
1.31 xG 0.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
384 Passes 369
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 7
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Sport Recife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and Sport Recife fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 51% of the ball to Sport Recife's 49%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 1.31 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mirassol FC and 0.67 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Sport Recife?

Mirassol FC 0-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 37%, draw 33%, Sport Recife 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mirassol FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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