Inter Turku 3-1 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.02
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
18%
3.93
X/2
11%
10.55
X/X
9%
5.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.45
2/2
7%
7.85
2/X
5%
15.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
2.29/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.42
+16% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.3 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Lahti
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.58 xG 0.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
349 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
07.06.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
27.01.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-2 HT 3-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
30.08.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
26.08.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
04.03.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
3-1
AWAY FC Lahti
2.69 xG 0.59
75% Ball Possession 25%
24 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
717 Passes 181
91% Pass Accuracy 70%
47 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku saw off FC Lahti 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Inter Turku had 75% of the ball to FC Lahti's 25%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.69 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Inter Turku and 0.83 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs FC Lahti?

Inter Turku 3-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 56%, draw 21%, FC Lahti 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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