FC Lahti 0-2 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.39
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
14%
7.33
X/2
16%
4.38
X/X
7%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.64
2/X
8%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
27%
+12.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -26%
0.96/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/0.68
-6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -45%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
216 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 86%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
18.8 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.27 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
313 Passes 254
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-2 HT 3-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
30.08.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
26.08.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
04.03.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
02.07.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
22.06.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 5-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
0-2
AWAY Inter Turku
0.33 xG 0.91
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
279 Passes 390
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku saw off FC Lahti 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; Inter Turku found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Lahti had 44% of the ball to Inter Turku's 56%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.33 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Lahti and 2.33 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs Inter Turku?

FC Lahti 0-2 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 40%, draw 21%, Inter Turku 39%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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