HJK Helsinki 4-1 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.1
X/1
12%
4.36
X/2
11%
7.02
X/X
14%
4.73
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.32
2/X
7%
14.5
Value flag · 1/X at 14.1 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 31%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.27/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
-31% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.6 Crosses 20.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
4W-2D-0L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
331 Passes 406
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-3 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
24.09.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.07.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-2 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
03.06.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-0 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
18.09.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-1 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
28.08.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
4-1
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
2.83 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 10
231 Passes 287
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki swept aside SJK Seinajoki 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day HJK Helsinki made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 47% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 53%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.83 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.17 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki?

HJK Helsinki 4-1 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 38%, draw 31%, SJK Seinajoki 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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