VPS 1-1 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 7 Jun 2024

VPS
1-1 HT 1-0
Ilves Tampere
📅07/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

VPS vs Ilves Tampere Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.52
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
9%
6.38
X/2
13%
4.76
X/X
14%
4.91
2/1
11%
32.0
2/2
21%
3.01
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VPS v Ilves Tampere — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
1.40/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.67
+25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
17.6 Crosses 18.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

VPS vs Ilves Tampere Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
432 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-1 HT 2-1 VPS VPS FLK
28.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-2 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN
26.05.2023 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
18.02.2023 VPS VPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
18.09.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-3 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
06.08.2022 VPS VPS 3-0 HT 3-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN

VPS 1-1 Ilves Tampere — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
1-1
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.62 xG 0.92
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 9
246 Passes 552
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VPS vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS and Ilves Tampere couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (30% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, VPS had 34% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 66%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.62 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for VPS and 1.17 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of VPS vs Ilves Tampere?

VPS 1-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split VPS 30%, draw 29%, Ilves Tampere 40%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere)
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