Jeonnam Dragons 3-1 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +27%
1.33/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.29
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +68%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.0 Crosses 14.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.02 xG 1.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 248
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
12.05.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 3-4 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
26.11.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 4-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
05.08.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
07.05.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 5-2 HT 2-2 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
15.10.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-2 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
3-1
AWAY Bucheon 1995
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 Passes 322
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons beat Bucheon 1995 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bucheon 1995 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 55% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 45%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 2.50 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Bucheon 1995?

Jeonnam Dragons 3-1 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 31%, draw 25%, Bucheon 1995 44%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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