Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Leones Negros Udeg — Team-Based Signals
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Udeg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 4-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
2-2
HT 0-0
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
0-0
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-1
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Leones Negros Udeg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 2.00 for Leones Negros Udeg.
What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 29%, draw 33%, Leones Negros Udeg 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.