Walter Ferretti 1-1 Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Managua EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.33/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Managua
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
28.01.2024 Managua Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
01.10.2023 Managua Managua 5-1 HT 4-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
06.08.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 1-1 Managua Managua NİK
16.04.2023 Managua Managua 0-3 HT 0-2 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
26.03.2023 Managua Managua 2-2 HT 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti and Managua shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.50 for Managua.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Managua?

Walter Ferretti 1-1 Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 37%, draw 26%, Managua 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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