Deportivo Ocotal 0-2 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 60%
+19% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.75/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.04
+68% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Diriangen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 7-0 HT 5-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
29.01.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-3 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
02.10.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-2 HT 0-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
07.08.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
04.02.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
03.10.2022 Diriangen Diriangen 6-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen got the better of Deportivo Ocotal 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 3.33 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs Diriangen?

Deportivo Ocotal 0-2 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 25%, draw 22%, Diriangen 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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