Atletico Grau 4-0 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.56/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.53
-1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
26.3 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
2W-3D-1L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
249 Passes 216
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
15.09.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-2 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
21.04.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
23.07.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-1 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
19.02.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
07.11.2020 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
4-0
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
2.31 xG 0.40
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
492 Passes 158
89% Pass Accuracy 67%
35 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau swept aside UTC Cajamarca 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Grau as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 70% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 30%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.31 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.17 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

Atletico Grau 4-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 60%, draw 23%, UTC Cajamarca 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Grau), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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